On Tuesday night, a missile hit a Polish farmhouse, killing two people. Right after this occurred many countries rushed to say that it was a Russian attack and that they were “sure” it was a Russian missile.
The blast, which Ukrainian President Zelenskyy decried as «a very significant escalation,» prompted Biden to call an emergency meeting of G-7 and NATO leaders. A deliberate, hostile attack on NATO member Poland could trigger a collective military response by the alliance.
In the meantime, Russia’s Defense Ministry denied that their missiles hit Polish territory, describing such reports as “a deliberate provocation aimed at escalating the situation”.
But if the missile is not Russian, what are going to be the actions for Ukraine?
NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg on Wednesday said, “We have no indication that this was the result of a deliberate attack…, …it was likely caused by a Ukrainian air defense missile fired to defend Ukrainian territory against Russian cruise missile attacks.”
And you might think Ukraine is in trouble…, well the answer was given by Stoltenberg: “let me be clear this is not Ukraine’s fault.
Now, the Russian Defense Ministry has conducted its own analysis and found that the debris appears to match that of «elements of an S-300 air defense system missile used by the Ukrainian Air Force.» Carrying out ‘massive’ missile strikes in Ukraine that day, these were ‘only against targets on Ukrainian territory and no closer than 35 kilometers (21.7 mi) from the Ukraine-Polish border’.
While Russia and the West continue to argue over the optics of the situation, investigations into the cause of the missile attack continue.